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CEE Warning Sign
(unknown source; fair use, educational)
Fourth Wave cartoon
(Adapted from Graeme MacKay, MacKay Cartoons; fair use, educational)
Climate Goals Explained (Adapted from Professor Guido Kühn , 29 November 2020 tweet & Extinction Rebellion, 2 December 2020 tweet; fair use, educational)
Discourses of Climate Delay 1
(Lamb et al., 2020; fair use, educational)
Discourses of Climate Delay 2
23 September 2020 tweet; used with permission)
10 basic facts for human & planetary survival (Prof Julia Steinberger)
Graph of CO2 and associated planetary temperature fluctuations over the past 800,000 years
(NASA; fair use, educational)
Types of Bad Media Articles on CEE
Fifth Wave cartoon
(Seen on the internet; also see 'Fourth Wave cartoon' above; fair use, educational)
Moat vs. CEE? cartoon (Drew Sheneman; fair use, educational)
This is Fine cartoon
(Baka Karasu; fair use, educational)
Cosmic Elder Woman
(unknown source; fair use, educational)
| Climate and Ecological Emergency
We are like deer or rabbits caught in the headlights of human evil - in the form of the CEE.
We are frozen in anxiety, fear, confusion - and incapable of action.
A few of us are rebelling against its perpetrators: capitalism, the superrich, the dictators, the mega-corporations, the fossil fuel executives.
The rest of us are paralysed at - or oblivious to or dismissive of - the oncoming danger.
The media - mostly controlled by the superrich - are forced to ignore the peril by their evil masters, and so they force us into ignorance.
Scientists don't get the evil of the elite, and underestimate the ferocity of the CEE.
It is getting nearer. It is becoming more overpowering.
There are warning signs: pandemics, floods, fires, droughts, famines.
But the media and politicians do not listen. They do not act as if it is a true emergency.
There is this desire or intent to return to life as normal, to business as usual.
But so much of the disaster is already locked-in and irreversible.
There is no escape.
It is going to hit us harder and ever faster in the 21st century.
It is like tackling the descent of a gigantic boulder from a mountain top. It is trundling down an ever steeper slope. It is obliterating everything in its path. Halting it will take time, focus, a huge collective effort.
We cannot return the rock to the summit. So much has been damaged on the way down and there is more to come, even if we act decisively now.
Nevertheless, everything we do to stop its momentum will save so much, so many lives.
Personal actions help, but we really need massive system change now.
Societal collapse is likely (see here, here, here, here, here, here, here). We must admit this and act.
Continued delay brings a higher risk of societal breakdown and even extinction.
We need to build an equal, fair world - what I call a Culture of Love or Solar Culture.
We especially need to overwhelm Governments, the Media, Big Money. "We need a billion climate activists" is something NASA climate scientist Peter Kalmus often tweets.
When we truly ditch fossil fuels, the associated reflective aerosols [fine particles suspended in the air] will disappear. This loss of global dimming will cause a big rapid spike in warming.
So, we need to temporarily create a reflective world to counter this, such as widespread mirrors, pykretes, painting surfaces with mirror-type paint or similar (e.g. roads, building & car roofs), marine cloud brightening and non-polluting aerosols.
This and rewilding Earth may allow humanity to transition to a New World.
In any event, we need to prepare for non-stop disasters by establishing emergency centres and organising a sustainable retreat [from uninhabitable areas]. Also see here.
There will be so many stateless refugees that we will need Nansen passports. There must be the right to immigration. Also see: here.
Food supply logistics is one of the biggest issues (if it isn't already - see here, here).
"The scary thing is, we just cannot grow crops at scale without a stable climate. That is why some people (in the know) are panicking. (Brian Metcalf, 26 March 2022 tweet)
On a personal level, stockpile food, grow you own food (even inside), know where you can collect water.
It is likely that we will need to assume a wartime footing, with the foe being our folly. In WW2, this switch happened for the USA almost overnight or within a month [10m24s; also see here], with rationing [also see here], simplified lifestyles and all efforts directed to countering the threat. Free Food Forests are another option.
Otherwise society could crumble in an instant and then it would be the age of the warlord.
Another analogy for the CEE is that humans have made a Faustian pact. We have sold our soul to the Devil for the short-term gain of power and riches for a few humans, with the sheeple shackled to the cult of capitalism and consumerism. We have colonised, disrespected, and profaned Nature.
It is this generation and our descendants that will reap the selfish and immoral consequences of this pact.
We need to regain a humble, respectful, sacred attitude to Earth - if we want to create Heaven on Earth.
Remember: "We do not own the earth. The earth owns us." (Chief Seattle)
Here are some quotes that may help you to free yourself from the headlights and act...
Climate change will, in a serious way, affect almost everyone alive now. Anyone old enough to escape it is lucky. Everyone is strapped to a rocket in this insane experiment.
(Mark Cranfield, 23 September 2021 tweet; also see here)
The climate crisis is not a human-induced disaster. It's an economic crime scene.
(Julia Steinberger, Professor in Social Ecology & Ecological Economics, 25 September 2020 tweet; also see here, here) [Culprits: Big Oil/Gas; Big Money/Economics/Banks/Insurance/Trade; Big Politics; Big Media; Big Tech; Big PR; Big Law. Also see here, here.]
Our civilization is being sacrificed for the opportunity of a very small number of people to continue making enormous amounts of money... It is the sufferings of the many which pay for the luxuries of the few... You say you love your children above all else, and yet you are stealing their future in front of their very eyes... (Greta Thunberg)
People who die because of climate breakdown have been murdered. Politicians and the super-rich have knowingly allowed this to happen. They’ve been warned for decades, but made no effort to stop emissions. The extreme weather we now face was caused by their actions. (Lawrence loves nature, 16 February 2022 tweet)
Impacts of human induced climate change will not be like falling off a cliff but rather like walking through a minefield where the density of mines keeps increasing! Also the poor and rich countries are going on different paths where the density of mines is lower for the rich! (Saleemul Huq, 18 February 2022 tweet)
This is a public health emergency.
(Eric Holthaus, The Guardian, posted and accessed 30 June 2021)
To survive with some grace, humanity must organize like the other species on Earth. Those other species are effectively ecosocialist: (1) they do not destroy the Earth, and (2) they share energy and resources relatively equitably. (Peter Kalmus, 7 November 2020 tweet)
Two basic concepts in climate I want the public to know:
1 Trend. If something gets worse every day, after some time it becomes unbearable and systems break.
2 Irreversibility. Humans can't "clean up" climate breakdown or ecosystem and biodiversity loss.
(Peter Kalmus, Climate Scientist, 7 September 2020 tweet [my bolding])
Remember: climate change means “global weirding,” not just global warming.
(Thomas L. Friedman, The Seattle Times, 2008, cited at Wiktionary, accessed 23 September 2021)
Climate change makes the impossible not only possible, but it makes it probable.
(Jeff Berardelli, 2 September 2021 tweet)
[Do you want to live in an impossible world? It's happening now. If not, rebel!]
We have to understand the emergency of the situation. Our leadership has failed us. Young people must hold older generations accountable for the mess they have created. We need to get angry, and transform that anger into action. (Greta Thunberg)
We [humanity] are currently, in a systematic manner, exterminating all non-human living beings. (Anne Larigauderie, IPBES executive secretary, cited at France 24, posted 15 September 2020, accessed 16 September 2020) [We need to prioritise Nature.]
Fascism has often been described as capitalism in decay. The ecological emergency is surely the clearest proof of this. Our political and economic elites either do not understand the ramifications of their actions, which have driven the climate crisis, or simply do not care enough to stop it. (Sam Knights, Jacobin, posted 16 November 2020, accessed 18 November 2020)
Man has the greater power to do both good and evil. Therefore his responsibilities to the Mother Earth are also greater.
(Jethro cited by Gerry Spence in How to Argue and Win Every Time, p.109)
Man's attitude toward nature is today critically important simply because we have now acquired a fateful power to alter and to destroy nature. But man is a part of nature, and his war against nature is inevitably a war against himself.
(Rachel Carson, 1963 CBS documentary)
The initiation or test for humans today is how we will handle the power we have to alter Nature. Will we serve the whole and lead simple loving lives? Or will we keep going selfishly and destroy it all? (Bruce Mitchell)
That is what is at stake. Our ability to live on planet Earth, to have a future as civilization. I believe this is a moral issue. It is your time to seize this issue.
(Al Gore, 2006)
You only talk about moving forward with the same bad ideas that got us into this mess, even when the only sensible thing to do is pull the emergency brake. You are not mature enough to tell it like it is. Even that burden you leave to us children...
The thing y'all really need to understand about global heating is that however hot we let it get, it's basically not coming back down. Not in a hundred years, maybe not in a thousand.
And ecological breakdown? Timescale for recovery is 10 million years. Wake up humans.
(Peter Kalmus, Climate Scientist, 5 November 2020 tweet)
We cannot solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis... if solutions within the system are so impossible to find, then... we should change the system itself. (Greta Thunberg)
If the Earth improves as a result of our presence, then we will flourish. If it doesn't, then we will die off. (James Lovelock, 1m31s, first aired 2010, posted 2012, accessed 2021)
Whatever befalls the Earth befalls the sons of the Earth. Man does not weave the web of life, he is merely a strand in it. Whatever he does to the web he does to himself.
Four Laws of Ecology
The ''Reduce, Reuse, Recycle'' mantra is in that order for a reason – to best care for the Earth and all its creatures, including humans.
Reducing consumption and waste is the priority, by leading simpler lifestyles [personal and societal action] and stopping consumerism [like capitalism, a dysfunctional societal philosophy].
Then reuse if at all possible, both in our everyday life and collectively by designing quality long-lasting products.
Only then recycle. This is the last resort, yet we hear so much about it. It is really important, but tends to distract us from the more important earlier steps. Further, it is a sad reality that much recycling waste does not actually get recycled, or is shipped to the Poor World whilst the Rich World never takes any responsibility.
So, personally and collectively the most important way to help the Earth is to create a much simpler world lifestyle. ‘Personal sufficiency and public luxury’ is one option...
[I have also seen:-
4 Rs = Refuse, Reduce, Reuse, Recycle (see 3m14s of this video).
6 Rs = Refuse, Redesign, Reduce, Reuse, Recycle, Recover (see here).]
Climate Goals Explained (uses the image below)
These are not targets to hit, but catastrophic points of no return. To call them "goals" is a dangerous abuse of language that enables Earth to be exploited to its maximum.
(Adapted from Professor Guido Kühn 29 November tweet & Extinction Rebellion 2 December 2020 tweet)
Humanity is waging war on nature. This is suicidal. Nature always strikes back – and it is already doing so with growing force and fury. Biodiversity is collapsing. One million species are at risk of extinction. Ecosystems are disappearing before our eyes... Human activities are at the root of our descent toward chaos. But that means human action can help to solve it...
Making peace with nature is the defining task of the 21st century. It must be the top, top priority for everyone, everywhere...
This is an epic policy test. But ultimately this is a moral test... We cannot use [our] resources to lock in policies that burden [future generations] with a mountain of debt on a broken planet.
(António Guterres, UN Secretary General, cited in The Guardian, posted and accessed 2 December 2020)
The climate crisis isn't about ice & polar bears. It's about social collapse.
(Seen on the internet, e.g. here)
It is important for people to understand that 1.2°C is hell for many people across the world and 2°C is a death sentence. (Vanessa Nakate, 16 December 2020 tweet)
It doesn't need to get to 5°C.
It turned out that our paltry 1.2°C is apocalyptic. It's incompatible with agriculture, destroys water supplies and condemns coastal cities.
(Mark Cranfield, 2 July 2021 tweet)
Half the world's population will die as a result of Climate Change in our children's lifetime. (Gail Bradbrook cited in Extinction Rebellion UK, 8 December 2020 tweet)
[Food shortages due to crop failure & water deprivation will be the main way. Then comes disease, social breakdown, decreased security which affects safe food growth & distribution. (Peter Carter/Roger Hallam) Meanwhile James Lovelock predicts billions will die due to the CEE in the 21C, leaving at best a billion or perhaps much less. Also see here, here, here.]
More and more people understand that the survival of humanity is at stake. Simply meditating or praying for change is not enough. There has to be action.
(The Dalai Lama cited at The Independent, posted 12 November 2020, accessed 13 November 2020)
Discourses of Climate Delay
Delay is the new denial. Now that the CEE cannot easily be denied, the baddies have resorted to delaying tactics. These are 'arguments that accept the science of climate change, but lean towards inaction and inadequate efforts' (William Lamb). Read the comic by Céline Keller (PDF here) and/or get informed and amused with these two images:
Léonard Chemineau [click to enlarge]
If you are surprised that viruses can mutate and possibly get more dangerous wait until you hear about climate change tipping points.
It's a complex system out there.
(Dr. Elizabeth Sawin, 21 December 2020 tweet)
[It's why we must act quickly and decisively now. Some scientists believe that 9 of 17 identified tipping points are already active and irreversible (p.7; as of 2020). Learn about tipping points: watch here, here, here, here; read here, here, here, here, here, here, here; the next quote is an example.]
Methane bubble plumes are increasingly being seen in the Arctic, and Wadhams [Peter Wadhams, head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group at Cambridge University and author of A Farewell to Ice] is frustrated that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has not yet accepted his theory that, as the ice melts, we could face a catastrophic escape of methane that has been stored for 20,000 years. Estimates, he says, range from 50 to 700 gigatonnes, which could “cause maybe a degree [centigrade] of warming, more or less instantly”, bringing forward by 15–35 years the average date at which the global mean temperature rise exceeds 2°C above pre-industrial levels.
(The Guardian, posted and accessed 23 June 2021)
No climate model predicted ~50°C in Canada. If these models were too conservative then it follows that climate policy needs to be far, far more radical.
(Extinction Rebellion, 11 July 2021 tweet; also see here, here)
The most comprehensive extinction forecast of 15% - 37%, or even as much as 50% of all Earth's species committed to extinction by 2050 is likely an underestimate according to recent research. (Ben See, 10 May 2022 tweet)
I wish *you* personally understood that we are on the brink of civilizational destruction, and that *you* have to choose a side: collapse, or transformation. There are no more bystanders, just those trying to save lives, and those complicit with mass death.
(Prof Julia Steinberger, 29 March 2021 tweet)
How many floods, infernos, and dying ecosystems will it take for a critical mass to realize that profit-above-all-else is irreversibly destroying our collective future on Earth?
(Peter Kalmus, 30 March 2021 tweet)
[Here is commentary on the above chart by Prof Julia Steinberger, adapted from here (also see here):]
Every day is sort of a waking nightmare, because even people who believe in facts 1,2,3 can't get themselves to state that 4 is also true. And that because of 6 & 7, we have no choice but to become activists - starting from the culture of a consumer society.
Seriously: saving the frikkin planet and so so many lives depends on us openly, bravely, stating the basic truth that we need to reduce energy & material consumption and FAST! This doesn't have to be a bad thing, but it is an unavoidable thing.
Most people in the global North see the ecological crisis as primarily a question of technology, while social movements across the global South recognize that it is primarily a question of justice. (Jason Hickel, 15 June 2021 tweet)
Ask yourself why Government has not formally addressed the nation about the #ClimateCrisis. When drought, water shortages, crop failures, a boiling up planet loom ever closer, why the silence? Government has failed for decades. It trades our children's lives for short term gain. (Valerie Brown, 18 June 2021 tweet)
Graph of CO2 and associated planetary temperature fluctuations over the past 800,000 years. What hardly anyone is talking about is that the evidence of Antarctica ice cores shows that our current levels of CO2 (400+ ppm) = over 10°C of warming. The temperature just takes a little time to kick in.
(Source: NASA; also see here, here, here, here, here, here, here)
The graph also conveys our almost unprecedented rate of climate change, only being faster once in the last 500 million years (5th mass extinction 66 million years ago when an asteroid hit and ended the dinosaurs).
This reveals the horrific truth of the current CEE = the 6th mass extinction, the 1st mass extermination.
Q. Why can’t the natural world adapt to what’s happening to the planet now?
A. The simple answer is that it’s far too fast.
People have an assumption that warmth is somehow what is bad here. But in fact it’s not the warmth itself, it’s the rate of change.
(Ben See, 27 April 2022 adapted tweet)
It's common to think of climate and ecological breakdown as the result of government 'inaction.' It's precisely the opposite. And it's important to understand it in this way.
(XR Cambridge, 17 January 2022 tweet)
It’s not that our governments are “doing nothing about climate change.” It’s that our governments are “doing climate change.” (Mary Annaïse Heglar, 26 August 2021 tweet)
It has become abundantly clear that governments don’t act on climate without pressure from civil society: threatening and silencing activists thus seems to be a new form of anti-democratic refusal to act on climate. (See Prof Julia Steinberger, 11 May 2021 tweet)
Climate activists are sometimes depicted as dangerous radicals. But, the truly dangerous radicals are the countries that are increasing the production of fossil fuels. Investing in new fossil fuels infrastructure is moral and economic madness.
(António Guterres, UN Secretary-General, UN, posted 4 April 2022, accessed 5 April 2022)
Eco-fascism denotes a logic which blames the destruction of the environment on overpopulation and inadvertently or directly demands population control through xenophobic reasoning and racial purity. Naomi Klein identifies eco-fascistic leanings as the blind spot in liberal discussions about persuading the right about climate change: “[T]he right denied climate change not because they didn’t understand the science, but because they objected to the political implications of the science.” Far-right environmentalists tend to overlap with a white supremacist and eugenicist worldview, equating preservation of an unspoiled nature with the preservation of untainted whiteness.
(Jerrine Tan, posted 23 May 2021, accessed 10 June 2021; also see here)
Climate change is a race issue
Climate change is a gender issue
Climate change is a class issue
Climate change is a health issue
(Vanessa Nakate, 18 October 2020 tweet)
Climate change is not only an Environmental issue,
It's a Gender issue,
It's a Humanitarian issue,
It's a Racial issue,
It's an Economic issue,
It's a Justice issue,
It's a Health issue,
It's a ............
(Adapted from Josh, 19 November 2021 tweet)
The obvious acceleration of the breakdown of our stable climate simply confirms that - when it comes to the climate emergency - we are in deep, deep s***!
Many in the climate science community would agree, in private if not in public.
The IPCC's reports tend to be both conservative and consensus. They’re conservative, because insufficient attention has been given to the importance of tipping points, feedback loops and outlier predictions; consensus, because more extreme scenarios have tended to be marginalised.
Plenty of peer-reviewed papers not addressed in IPCC documentation present far more pessimistic scenarios. There is no reason why a consensus viewpoint should be right, and we need to be preparing for the worst, even if we still hope for the best.
(Prof Bill McGuire, UCL, cited at BBC, posted and accessed 16 July 2021)
[On CEE alarmism:] I’m not sure that scaring people too much is a problem. We’re not nearly scared enough, and that’s why we’re not acting. The complete decarbonisation of our economy is our only hope of avoiding systemic environmental collapse, and nothing like that is on the political agenda in the biggest economies.
(George Monbiot, cited in The Guardian, posted and accessed 10 April 2022)
[Bruce: It's a fucking emergency and we do fuck all.]
Mass slaughter, mass rape, mass starvation. That’s what’s coming down the line.
(Roger Hallam, cited in The Guardian, posted and accessed 10 April 2022)
It is to the eternal shame of most journalists that we're living on a planet in unprecedented upheaval threatening to upend human society and few people even know it. We can't expect change - individual, systemic, political, economic, whatever - when people are kept in ignorance.
Explain the astonishing scale and rate of emissions compared to past events. Explain the astonishing scale of ecological damage. Explain that extinctions of species at this rate happened only 5 times in 4.5 billion years. Explain that almost no metric is improving after 40 years of policies. (Adapted from XR Cambridge, 1 December 2021 tweets)
Abandoning the idea that we can limit climate change to 1.5C is not giving up. It is the very opposite. It is facing reality, so that together we finally rise to the occasion. (Rupert Read)
We must go into emergency mode against the climate crisis.
(António Guterres, UN Secretary-General, 21 January 2022; also see here)
Moat vs. CEE? (Drew Sheneman)
We must be clear that decisive action on climate is not a ‘cost’; it is an investment, not just in our future, but in our survival. it would be the greatest cost-saving of human history. (Steve Trent, Environmental Justice Foundation, cited in The Guardian, posted 4, accessed 5 April 2022)
There’s a saying in recovery that anything you put before your sobriety you will lose. The same is true of the health of the planet. Without that, every other issue is screwed. People cannot see it. It is a tragedy beyond expression. (Matthew Todd, 12 March 2022 tweet)
There are about 7.9 billion humans on this planet with “normalcy bias”.
Normalcy bias, or normality bias, is a cognitive bias which leads people to disbelieve or minimize threat warnings.
Consequently, individuals underestimate the likelihood of a disaster, when it might affect them, and its potential adverse effects.
The normalcy bias causes many people to not adequately prepare for natural disasters, market crashes, and calamities caused by human error. About 70% of people reportedly display normalcy bias during a disaster.
(Adapted from Roadkill Wallaby Reef Foundation, 2 December 2021 tweets)
This is Fine (Baka Karasu)
You'll be like, "Doomism triggers my anxieties." It's not doomism just because the realism doesn't make you feel good. (Jasmine, TikTok account with 2.6 million followers, 53s of embedded video here, posted 15 April 2022, accessed 16 April 2022; also see here, here)
Climate change isn’t an ‘issue’ to add to the list of things to worry about, next to health care & taxes. It is a civilizational wake-up call. A powerful message – spoken in the language of fires, floods, droughts, & extinctions ... telling us we need to evolve.
I used to think the top environmental problems were biodiversity loss, ecosystems collapse and climate change. I thought that with 30 years of good science we could address those problems. But I was wrong. The top environmental problems are selfishness, greed and apathy… and to deal with those we need a spiritual and cultural transformation and we, (lawyers) and scientists, don´t know how to do that.
(Gus Speth, cited at The Earth Charter International, dated 2000-2021, accessed 16 April 2022)
The Earth is 4.6 billion years old. Let's scale that to 46 years. We [humans] have been here for 4 hours. Our industrial revolution began 1 minute ago . In that time, we have destroyed more than 50% of the world's forests. This isn't sustainable. (Seen on the internet)
Can't you hear the future weeping? Our love must save the world. (Ben Okri) [This quote was added to a large grass background and floated on London's River Thames in June 2021 by XR. This was to urge governments to act on the Climate & Ecological Emergency. See: film, here, here, here, here.]
I don’t think it’s helpful to say act now before it’s too late. Because it’s too late for so much already, while it’s never too late to do the right thing.
(Adapted from Jem Bendell, 17 August 2021 tweet, to which Fulya Sari replied:)
“We gather and rebel not with a vision of a fairy-tale future where we have fixed the climate, but because it is right to do what we can. To slow the change. To reduce the harm. To save what we can. To invite us back to sanity and love.”
Success for Society - Environment